The Melian Dialogue and the Singapore Summit

July 5, 2018 Mbeljac 0

The previous week I wrote of US intelligence assessments on North Korea’s nuclear programme, which suggests that North Korea is not committed to nuclear disarmament let along complete, verified, and irreversible dismantlement of the type long demanded by the United States. I had argued that the Singapore summit and its […]

Washington is Compelling Iran to Withdraw from the JCPOA

June 26, 2018 Mbeljac 0

The US is seemingly goading Iran into withdrawing from the JCPOA. That might lead to some nasty surprises, for both them and us. Whilst attention continues to be drawn to North Korea, important developments continue to characterise the Iranian nuclear file with Iran’s deputy foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, describing the […]

The Road to Denuclearisation in Korea: Strategic Stability and Minimum Deterrence Now, Denuclearisation Through Economic Leverage Later

June 6, 2018 Mbeljac 0

Rather than focus on denuclearisation the emphasis for now should be on mutual and balanced conventional force reductions on the Korean peninsula. Washington’s economic clout gives it leverage to demand denuclearisation thereafter. Denuclearisation continues to dominate the airwaves, with President Trump indicating that he is prepared to put denuclearisation on […]

Who Lost Korea? The Third Inter Korean Summit

April 28, 2018 Mbeljac 0

The much anticipated Third Inter Korean Summit, this time between Kim Jong-un and Moon Jae-in, has concluded amid much fanfare and some quite spectacular imagery. The first two Inter Korean summits proved, ultimately, to be failures and whether it will be third time lucky to no small degree depends upon […]

Russia Reportedly Tests Nudol ASAT Weapon

April 5, 2018 Mbeljac 0

Doubtless we have all seen the report of a sixth test by Russia of the Nudol, which the United States intelligence community assesses to be a direct ascent anti-satellite weapon or ASAT. The report comes to us courtesy of Ankit Panda of The Diplomat and is based on credible official […]