Tag Archives: Iran

Nuclear Barbarossa: Sowing Instability and Running the Risk of War is the Object of Trump’s Iran Policy.

We have only to kick in the front door and the whole rotten edifice will come tumbling down. Hitler’s Russia policy then. Trump’s Iran policy now. Continue reading

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First as Tragedy, Twice as Farce: Decoding Iran’s Resumption of Enrichment at Fordow and Advanced Centrifuge R&D at Natanz.

The same fuckwits who helped push North Korea to a secret uranium enrichment plant are now pushing Iran toward one or two of its own. Continue reading

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Yongbyon Dismantlement for Snapback Sanctions Relief: Deal or No Deal?

Reports continue to emphasise that the upcoming working level meetings between US and North Korean officials, following the third Kim-Trump meeting at Panmunjom, will discuss an interim Yongbyon plus deal involving what’s called a “nuclear freeze” for limited sanctions relief. … Continue reading

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Taking the Standoff Between Iran and the US in the Gulf as a Controlled Experiment

The escalating crisis in the Persian Gulf between Iran and the United States and its allies is about as close as one can get to a controlled experiment in international relations. On the hand the crisis promises to tell us … Continue reading

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Iran’s Failed Simorgh Launch of the Payam Satellite

Why did Iran’s launch of the Payam satellite fail, and was it really a disguised ICBM test? Continue reading

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Iran’s Operation Muharram Strike and the Qiam Missile: Terminal Guidance and Improved Accuracy?

Doubtless we have all seen news of Iran’s ballistic missile and drone strikes against Islamic State targets in Deir Ez-Zor province in Syria bordering Iraq. Iran refers this military attack as Operation Muharram Strike. The attack, like an earlier one … Continue reading

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Washington is Compelling Iran to Withdraw from the JCPOA

The US is seemingly goading Iran into withdrawing from the JCPOA. That might lead to some nasty surprises, for both them and us. Whilst attention continues to be drawn to North Korea, important developments continue to characterise the Iranian nuclear … Continue reading

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Trump’s JCPOA Language Game: The Strategic Logic to JCPOA Withdrawal

Most commentary on the US withdrawal from the JCPOA, at least from the sane end of the spectrum, has made the point, firstly, that it is not based on a firm strategy, that it more reflects the warped impulses of … Continue reading

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Trump’s Effective Withdrawal from the JCPOA and the 123 Agreement Negotiations with Saudi Arabia

President Trump’s decision to not extend the waiver on US sanctions on Iran, officially not a US withdrawal but in effect one, means the United States is no longer in compliance with the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action on Iran’s … Continue reading

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Creating Instability to Create Stability: Trump’s Decertification of the Iran Nuclear Deal

President Trump has refused to certify that Iran is meeting its obligations under the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, whilst at the same time announcing a new, more confrontational, approach to Iran. Trump did not terminate the agreement, but he … Continue reading

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