Tag Archives: Deterrence

US-European Airstrikes Against Syria, the Offence-Defence Balance, and the Left

The war in Syria is simply an obscenity, waged by weak and miserable men. That observation is how any discussion on developments in Syria should proceed, and so it is that I begin this discussion of the April 14 air … Continue reading

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Russia Reportedly Tests Nudol ASAT Weapon

Doubtless we have all seen the report of a sixth test by Russia of the Nudol, which the United States intelligence community assesses to be a direct ascent anti-satellite weapon or ASAT. The report comes to us courtesy of Ankit … Continue reading

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Nuclear Diplomacy After the Kim-Xi Summit: Uncertainty and the Paradox of Self-Reference

When it comes to the gathering nuclear diplomacy with North Korea the surprises are coming thick and fast. I submit that this might be a problem. The latest instalment was the surprise summit meeting between Kim Jong-un and Xi Jinping … Continue reading

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Does the Prospect of a Kim-Trump Summit Mean We Should Duck and Cover?

Those who have read my analyses of North Korea have long known I have long argued that one of the goals of North Korea’s nuclear programme, seemingly paradoxically, is the improvement of relations with the United States. I am even … Continue reading

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Back to the Future, 1984: Putin’s Announcement of New Strategic Nuclear Weapons Gives Us The Future We Never Had.

“What’s he going to do, drop a nuclear reactor on London?” So thought Niels Bohr when Werner Heisenberg showed him a drawing of what appeared to be a nuclear reactor during a mysterious meeting of the pair in Copenhagen during … Continue reading

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North Korea, the Negligence Doctrine and Catalytic War

Among nuclear weapon states there exists a subset that could be said to constitute a nuclear complex. A nuclear weapons complex consists of states that possess an intercontinental nuclear targeting capability, a capability that might see the states of the … Continue reading

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North Korea’s February 2018 Military Parade: Demonstration of Missile Vulnerability or Transition?

The 2017 North Korean military parade to mark the 105th birthday of Kim Il-sung had us talking of TELs and so has the February 2018 parade on the 70th anniversary of the founding of the Korean People’s Army, although for … Continue reading

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Comparing North Korea’s Nuclear Programme with Trump’s Nuclear Posture Review

From time to time we hear from conservative hawks, both within and without the Trump administration, that North Korea does not have a nuclear weapons programme to deter the United States, rather, North Korea seeks a strategic capability to compel … Continue reading

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Tailored Deterrence and Nuclear War Fighting in the Trump Administration’s Leak Draft Nuclear Posture Review.

I have long argued that the concept of tailored deterrence will constitute the core of the Trump administration’s Nuclear Posture Review, and it appears that my contention was indeed correct. The Trump administration’s Nuclear Posture Review has been much anticipated, … Continue reading

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North Korea’s Hwasong-15 Reentry Vehicle and the Window of Vulnerability

Soyuz, Falcon-9, Ariane, Long March and so on are rockets whose purpose is to deliver a payload into space. Military missiles are no different, indeed this feature is more pronounced with military rockets, and the Hwasong-15 ICBM is a good … Continue reading

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