Doubtless we have all seen the report of a sixth test by Russia of the Nudol, which the United States intelligence community assesses to be a direct ascent anti-satellite weapon or ASAT. The report comes to us courtesy of Ankit Panda of The Diplomat and is based on credible official […]
“What’s he going to do, drop a nuclear reactor on London?” So thought Niels Bohr when Werner Heisenberg showed him a drawing of what appeared to be a nuclear reactor during a mysterious meeting of the pair in Copenhagen during the war. That meeting still puzzles historians of science and […]
Among nuclear weapon states there exists a subset that could be said to constitute a nuclear complex. A nuclear weapons complex consists of states that possess an intercontinental nuclear targeting capability, a capability that might see the states of the complex interact in advertent and inadvertent ways. North Korea, from […]
I have long argued that the concept of tailored deterrence will constitute the core of the Trump administration’s Nuclear Posture Review, and it appears that my contention was indeed correct. The Trump administration’s Nuclear Posture Review has been much anticipated, and it appears that a draft has been leaked to […]
Soyuz, Falcon-9, Ariane, Long March and so on are rockets whose purpose is to deliver a payload into space. Military missiles are no different, indeed this feature is more pronounced with military rockets, and the Hwasong-15 ICBM is a good case in point. The purpose of the Hwasong-15, the subject […]
One of the, many, big questions occasioned by North Korea’s first test flight of its big new missile is where do we, but also where do they, go from here. To be sure not only Pyongyang and Washington are players here, so are Seoul, Tokyo, Beijing and Moscow but I […]
North Korea’s new Hwasong-15 ICBM is, to be blunt, a big fucker. I write here a brief preliminary analysis. On November 28 North Korea test launched the new ICBM on a highly lofted trajectory reaching an apogee of 4,475km and a range of 950km. The launch appears to have been […]
Whilst the world’s attention has been focused on North Korea and Iran, the big boys relatively quietly continue to sharpen their nuclear swords. Russia had tested an RS-24 Yars ICBM with what Moscow billed as an “experimental warhead,” and in this case that billing was quite accurate. Podvig discusses how […]
For more than 10 years I have been writing about the North Korean nuclear crisis, arguing that it has serious potential implications for Australia. I had long argued that we are “sleepwalking” toward catastrophe, but oddly the issue barely gained traction. One reason, doubtless, was because of a generalised incredulity […]
For 10 years, if not more, I have been writing in various fora regarding the North Korean nuclear crisis. I have always argued that without a change of course that we are “sleepwalking” toward catastrophe on the Korean peninsula, and this week the United Nations General Secretary, Antonio Guterres, repeated […]
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