For North Korea reaffirmation of the Panmunjom Declaration and it’s speedy implementation are the big ticket items from the fourth inter-Korean summit, certainly not denuclearisation nor Trump I’m so dizzy, my head is spinning. It’s been a breathtaking week. The test site. The test site map. The test site portals. […]
The irrational has always triumphed in the North Korean nuclear crisis, and strategic stability, not complete denuclearisation, is the rational approach to pursue heading into the Kim-Trump Summit. The upcoming US-North Korea summit meeting has hit the proverbial snag, with competing conceptions of denuclearisation taking front and centre. There seems […]
President Trump’s decision to not extend the waiver on US sanctions on Iran, officially not a US withdrawal but in effect one, means the United States is no longer in compliance with the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action on Iran’s nuclear activities reached with Iran, the United States, the Permanent […]
The much anticipated Third Inter Korean Summit, this time between Kim Jong-un and Moon Jae-in, has concluded amid much fanfare and some quite spectacular imagery. The first two Inter Korean summits proved, ultimately, to be failures and whether it will be third time lucky to no small degree depends upon […]
Doubtless we have all seen the report of a sixth test by Russia of the Nudol, which the United States intelligence community assesses to be a direct ascent anti-satellite weapon or ASAT. The report comes to us courtesy of Ankit Panda of The Diplomat and is based on credible official […]
Those who have read my analyses of North Korea have long known I have long argued that one of the goals of North Korea’s nuclear programme, seemingly paradoxically, is the improvement of relations with the United States. I am even cited in a book as so arguing, so there! The […]
“What’s he going to do, drop a nuclear reactor on London?” So thought Niels Bohr when Werner Heisenberg showed him a drawing of what appeared to be a nuclear reactor during a mysterious meeting of the pair in Copenhagen during the war. That meeting still puzzles historians of science and […]
I have long argued that the concept of tailored deterrence will constitute the core of the Trump administration’s Nuclear Posture Review, and it appears that my contention was indeed correct. The Trump administration’s Nuclear Posture Review has been much anticipated, and it appears that a draft has been leaked to […]
One of the, many, big questions occasioned by North Korea’s first test flight of its big new missile is where do we, but also where do they, go from here. To be sure not only Pyongyang and Washington are players here, so are Seoul, Tokyo, Beijing and Moscow but I […]
North Korea’s new Hwasong-15 ICBM is, to be blunt, a big fucker. I write here a brief preliminary analysis. On November 28 North Korea test launched the new ICBM on a highly lofted trajectory reaching an apogee of 4,475km and a range of 950km. The launch appears to have been […]
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