The Melian Dialogue and the Singapore Summit

July 5, 2018 Mbeljac 0

The previous week I wrote of US intelligence assessments on North Korea’s nuclear programme, which suggests that North Korea is not committed to nuclear disarmament let along complete, verified, and irreversible dismantlement of the type long demanded by the United States. I had argued that the Singapore summit and its […]

Washington is Compelling Iran to Withdraw from the JCPOA

June 26, 2018 Mbeljac 0

The US is seemingly goading Iran into withdrawing from the JCPOA. That might lead to some nasty surprises, for both them and us. Whilst attention continues to be drawn to North Korea, important developments continue to characterise the Iranian nuclear file with Iran’s deputy foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, describing the […]

The Road to Denuclearisation in Korea: Strategic Stability and Minimum Deterrence Now, Denuclearisation Through Economic Leverage Later

June 6, 2018 Mbeljac 0

Rather than focus on denuclearisation the emphasis for now should be on mutual and balanced conventional force reductions on the Korean peninsula. Washington’s economic clout gives it leverage to demand denuclearisation thereafter. Denuclearisation continues to dominate the airwaves, with President Trump indicating that he is prepared to put denuclearisation on […]

The Man Who Lost Korea: The Fourth Inter-Korean Summit.

May 27, 2018 Mbeljac 0

For North Korea reaffirmation of the Panmunjom Declaration and it’s speedy implementation are the big ticket items from the fourth inter-Korean summit, certainly not denuclearisation nor Trump I’m so dizzy, my head is spinning. It’s been a breathtaking week. The test site. The test site map. The test site portals. […]