North Korea’s Hwasong-15 ICBM and The Window of Vulnerability

December 2, 2017 Mbeljac 0

In 1954 President Eisenhower exclaimed that, “soon even little countries will have a stockpile of these bombs, and then we will be in a mess.” Many have, correctly, emphasised that the Hwasong-15 ICBM is a big heavy missile. That’s half the picture. It’s a big missile developed by a small […]

Rationality and Nuclear Launch Authority

November 28, 2017 Mbeljac 0

One of the more electorally telling advertisements in US political history was a 1964 LBJ campaign ad featuring a girl in the meadows picking away at a flower whilst an austere and mechanical voice in the background counts down to nuclear launch. LBJ’s opponent at the time, Barry Goldwater, who’s […]

On the Ratko Mladic Guilty Verdict

November 23, 2017 Mbeljac 0

The International Criminal Tribunal for the Former Yugoslavia has found the former commander of the Army of the Republic of Srpska, General Ratko Mladic, guilty of war crimes, crimes against humanity and genocide. I am researching other topics more in line with my vocation, and with a view to writing […]

Economic Growth and the Doomsday Argument

November 13, 2017 Mbeljac 0

Say there are two lottery urns, one containing 1000 balls each numbered from 1 to 1000, and the other containing 10 balls each also numbered from 1 to 10. We have two individuals, one Alice the other Bob. Alice will reach into one of the lottery urns, out of sight […]

Mnogostradalnaya: The Left and the Russian Revolution

November 6, 2017 Mbeljac 0

November 07 2017 marks the centennial of the putsch of Lenin and Trotsky, sometimes called the “Russian Revolution” and at other times “The Great October Socialist Revolution,” which could only end in the imposition of terror as it in fact did. I am interested in making some, brief, remarks about […]